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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-08-21T10:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-08-21T10:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9152/-1
CME Note: associated with M1.4 flare
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-08-25T15:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-08-21T23:10Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 270
Longitude (deg): W000
Latitude (deg): S34
Half-angular width (deg): 42

Notes: Will probably get lost in coronal hole HSSs (CH91 and 92).
Space weather advisor: Mark Seltzer

Lead Time: 69.00 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-08-22T18:00Z

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